Richard Castle is a successful best-selling author, twice married and twice divorced, living in a spacious Manhattan condo with the single actress mother (Martha) who raised him and a bright teenage daughter (Alexis). He has money, toys, and rotating women, but he’s bored. So bored in fact that he has killed off his best-selling character, Derrick Storm, a rogue prone to danger.… Read the rest
Each year, I run my own internal personal fantasy TV pool, first guessing how new shows will do based solely on their description and premise, and then updating my prediction after watching the premiere. Now that most of the cancellations are known, I want to see how I did.
For six new ABC shows, one is still undecided/unannounced.… Read the rest
It’s the start of the new TV season, and time to predict the survival outcome for all the new shows. Last year I made it to almost 80%, which I was particularly happy with…I do two predictions — one based on just the description, and an updated one after I have watched the premieres.… Read the rest
Way back at the start of the television season, I tried to predict the success factor for all the new shows as to whether or not they were likely to get renewal for a second season. Let’s see how I did…
The first group were the ones I predicted renewal for, and there were 12.… Read the rest
Every year, at the start of the TV season, I try to predict the outcome of the new shows. And I post my predictions for what they’re worth, knowing sometimes I go as low as 50% right and 50% wrong! Mostly because I don’t take into account differences between networks and other factors, I just go by quality or basic delivery on a viable show premise.… Read the rest
Last year, of 15 scripted shows, the CW cancelled 4 and renewed 11. The big challenge though is that CW renewals are as much about business models with the two invested co-companies as they are about ratings. Of the 4 cancellations, two were true newbies, the other two were ending shows.… Read the rest
Last year, of 26 scripted shows, CBS cancelled 8 and renewed 18. However, of the 8 cancelled, 7 were new shows. Brutal. In other words, they cancelled only 1 of their pre-existing shows. Of the 18 renewals, only 2-3 were newbies; the rest were roll-overs. So, looking at CBS for this year, I want to try and take that approach into account — most existing shows are likely to make it, few newbies.… Read the rest
Every year, at the start of the TV season, I try to predict the outcome of the new shows — renewal for another season, or cancellation. However, I must admit, my approach has lacked a fair amount of finesse as I generally went by whether the show was worth keeping, absent any consideration of the network’s ability to cancel everything bad and only keep good stuff.… Read the rest
Every year, at the start of the TV season, I try to predict the outcome of the new shows — renewal for another season, or cancellation. Let’s see how I did this past year…Of the shows I picked for renewal:
Correct: Great News, Kevin Can Wait, Riverdale
Incorrect: Doubt, Emerald City, Powerless
Still uncertain: 24: Legacy, Chicago Justice, Midnight: Texas, Still Star-Crossed
Which basically means I was 50/50 for the shows I thought would get renewed but didn’t.… Read the rest
I gave some shows a try, but it is time to thin the herd.
First on my chopping block is American Housewife. I said initially that I wouldn’t try it, but gave it a go anyway. It was theoretically a comedy. I have no idea as I didn’t last three minutes before I was grinding my teeth.… Read the rest
As regular readers will likely remember, I watch a lot of TV series. I can wax and wane on the merits of serialized story-telling in movies and books too, but each fall I look over the news of upcoming TV shows like fantasy football players scout rosters, looking for the hidden gems.… Read the rest
Over at TVGrimReaper.com, the e-ink is dripping on all the recent updates as we start to see mid-season finales.
Euthanized: Wicked City, Blood & Oil, Truth Be Told, The Player, and Minority Report
Well, I lost two of those (Player, Minority Report) and I was enjoying both. As mentioned earlier, I think there is a nugget to be cracked for the “one man” action type show, but in five seasons, nobody has done it yet.
I was reading TVByTheNumbers, but switched over to reading the Grim Reaper (who has bounced around a bit and now does his own thing on his own site). A little more snark, but the analysis is a bit better.
Wicked City is cancelled — This “1982 serial killer” show wasn’t exactly a huge draw, but surprised it didn’t get a couple more shows in before a decision was made;
Castle and the Muppets are toss-ups to be cancelled by end of year, but I think the Muppets will leave before then and Castle is a definite lock to be the last season;
Quantico is on the list for “likely renewal”, but I think it is way too early to decide that, unless someone has a REALLY compelling storyline for Season 2 already in the works; and,
SHIELD is on the list for definite renewal, must be something I don’t see, as it’s a watch or not toss up for me.
I like reading the website TVByTheNumbers (zaptoit.com) as they pull together some of the hits and duds each week to see how they’re doing based on ratings and whether networks are likely to keep them. They adjust for things like demographics, whether the network owns the show or it’s produced outside the fold, etc.… Read the rest
Anyone who reads my blog or follows me on Twitter knows I watch a lot of TV. I love serialized story-telling, sue me. But within my watching schedule are the increasing number of super hero shows. There’s actual academic research out there about storylines and market share correlating with people’s level of optimism — i.e.… Read the rest